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]]>As of June, 86.6 percent of beds at Yardi 200 universities were preleased for the upcoming fall term, a 5.2 percent increase from the prior month. June also marked the fifth consecutive month of annual rent growth over seven percent at Yardi 200 universities, at 7.2 percent.
Given that 2022 held the previous rent record for student housing, obtaining more than seven percent growth off of previous record-high numbers is exceptional. The average rent per bed at Yardi 200 universities was $846 at quarter-end, a new all-time record.
“Under the surface of solid overall fundamentals at the Yardi 200 level is mixed performance at individual schools, as some universities are doing exceptionally well while others fall short. Performance at the university level is mainly correlated to local supply-and-demand dynamics rather than higher-level trends,” state Matrix analysts.
The student housing data set includes over 2,000 universities and colleges nationwide, including the top 200 investment grade universities across all major collegiate conferences. Known as the “Yardi 200,” it includes all Power 5 conferences as well as Carnegie R1 and R2 universities.
However, the sector isn’t totally unscathed by current economic conditions. Transaction volume through the second quarter was down about 73 percent from the same time last year, a stark reminder of weakening economic sentiment. But that hasn’t slowed the off-campus dedicated student housing development pipeline, which expanded by approximately 28,000 bedrooms since January.
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]]>It was a decrease from the 44-basis-point MoM increase recorded in April and was prompted by actual decreases in asking rents in two regions: Florida markets that saw unbelievable growth during the pandemic and now face affordability problems, and California cities still struggling to find their post-pandemic footing.
Five of the 10 worst-performing markets were in Florida (Southwest Florida Coast, Miami, Orlando, Jacksonville and West Palm Beach), and of the remaining markets that saw month-over-month declines, six were in California (metro Los Angeles, Sacramento, Eastern Los Angeles County, the East Bay, Orange County and the Inland Empire).
Strong growth continues in many Midwestern and Northeastern markets: Portland, Maine, and Scranton–Wilkes-Barre both grew more than a full percentage point month-over-month. White Plains, Detroit, Urban and Suburban Chicago, Manhattan, Milwaukee, Rochester, Central New Jersey and Syracuse all saw asking rents grow more than 90 basis points from the previous month.
The average apartment asking rent nationally was $1,726 in June, according to the Yardi Matrix National Multifamily Report.
The update forecast lowers rent rate expectations for many larger markets in the West and Southwest and raises them for many midsize markets throughout the Midwest, Northeast and parts of the South.
“The stalled-out return-to-office movement is putting a significant drag on Western markets with large numbers of knowledge-based workers, and economic uncertainty will continue to limit demand in those markets that have largely been driven by high-paying tech jobs,” states the report.
As for those cities whose outlook improved: “As affordability continues to be a concern across the country and economic uncertainty prevails, these smaller markets will continue to be more attractive, as they can provide many of the same benefits and amenities their larger siblings do at significantly lower price points.”
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]]>Nationally, the average rate for self storage units overall remained unchanged month-over-month. Historically, rates tend to increase in the summer months. With the exception of 2019, every year from 2017 to 2022 experienced a May-to-June rent increase of at least 0.7 percent.
“Muted monthly rate growth this year may signal that move-ins are slowing this leasing season as demand cools,” say Matrix analysts. “Move-in activity has slowed this year as home sales have cooled, especially compared to the robust home sales in early 2022.”
In June, national street rates for 10×10 NON CC units decreased 3.8 percent year-over-year. Rates for 10×10 CC units fared worse, falling 5.3 percent year-over-year, the largest recorded decline since May 2020.
Annual street rate growth continued to be negative for almost all of Yardi Matrix’s top 31 metros in June. Street rates for 10×10 NON CC units were down year-over-year in 97 percent of the top 31 metros.
Learn more about the state of the self storage sector nationwide.
Yardi Matrix tracks a total of 4,751 self storage properties in various stages of development, including 810 under construction, 1,913 planned, 622 prospective, 1,353 abandoned and 53 deferred. Matrix also maintains operational profiles for 29,824 completed self storage facilities across the United States, bringing the total data set to 34,575.
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